Here’s where you can get a print-out of the ballot. I know that Kmareka readers know who they’re voting for, but there’s some fine print on the bond issues that you don’t want to have to be squinting at in the booth on Tuesday.
I’m all for buying the old Rocky Point Park as a public park. It’s a good time to do it and an investment in the future.
Kmareka.com 
If it’s the weekend before election day, it’s prediction time. Here are mine:
Congress: Langevin, 68% of the vote
Governor: Chafee, 41%
Lt. Gov.: Roberts, 44%
Sec. of State: Mollis, 58%
Atty. Gen.: Little, 49%
Treasurer: Raimondo, 55%
R.I. Senate 28: Miller, 60%
R.I. House 14: Lima, 72%
Cranston Mayor: Fung, 65%
Cranston City-Wide: Lupino, Aceto, Buongiovanni
Ward 3: Archetto, 58%
School Committee (unopposed): Lombardi, McFarland
Referenda:
#1 (Change state name): Rejected 60-40
#2 (Higher Ed Bonds): Approved 51-49
#3 (Roads & RIPTA): Rejected 58-42
#4 (Rocky Point): Approved 58-42
#5 (Council OK of school contracts):
Rejected 70-30
#6: (Council OK of all contracts):
Rejected 70-30
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Further thoughts:
None of the top state office winners will garner a plurality in their respective races, with the exception of Mollis. Caprio’s “shove it” will shove votes to Robitaille, who — inexplicably — looks like the more level-headed (Republican) candidate.
In Cranston, the Mayor’s race will bring in fewer than 25,000 votes, and Fung will take almost 2/3 of them — not exactly the drubbing he gave Fogarty in ’08, but close.
The lone citywide Republican, Buongiovanni, will benefit from his place on the ballot and the low Dem votes for Mayor.
The Council approval of school and other contracts will fail by huge margins due to target voting (this will probably get more votes than those cast for ward Council in 4 of 6 wards).
Finally, I think Rhode Islanders will vote to save Rocky Point out of nostalgia for the place. On the other hand, I don’t think enough RI’ers feel so strongly about “plantations” to remove it from the state’s name. This is also where the expected lower minority vote will show itself most prominently, as they’re the voters that the anti-plantations campaign has targeted.
For Page 3 and 4 of the ballot:
#7 (Fiscal impact statement): Rejected 70-30
#8 (Four year terms): Rejected 65-35
#9 (Voter initiative): Approved 70-30
#10 (Council Finance Committee oversight of investments): Approved 60-40
#11 (Charter Review Commission): Approved 60-40
Again, the pro-school board target voters will defeat the referenda that would provide more oversight for the board. Further down than that, and you’re getting 2,000 or fewer votes, 100 of which will decide the question.
No call on Cicilline-Loughlin?
Can hardly blame you.
Wy do you think voters willr eject the transportstion bonds? Don’t you think folks will agree we nned the (20%) match for fising roads and bridges (and a little for new buses for RIPTA)?
I doubt many “minority” vters care about changing the name of the sate, no reason they shold. I think it will be rejected more overwhelmingly. We would be a national laughlingstock for being so silly as to change it. Besides “Island” is offensive to geographers, we are not an island. And perhaps “Rhode” is offensive to Turks as it is a Greek island.
The transprtation bonds are essential for people getting to work.
Pass the question!!
Great picks Jesse, except for your lone Republican citywide guy he has done ZERO this cycle. If your presuming that 1 Republican will take a seat, then I would like to remind you about the 2008 election and what Luciano put up for numbers. The DEM’s have a saying, its called the “Luciano factor” and you cant dispute it. You should also post the ward races as well, I remember someone mentioning they were going to post the attendance records of all the Council people. I feel if your going to put yourself out there with the picks, you might as well do them all.
HAPPY VOTING EVERYONE!!!!
Sincerely,
Rob Pelletier
Folks:
I’m a Ward 3 voter, so I stuck with that ballot.
To answer the questions posed above, I think Cicilline will win, and that people will vote with their pocketbooks on the transportation question and “instead” save Rocky Point.
RP: Maybe you can enlighten me on the Luciano factor, as this is the first I’m hearing about it.
Rob:
After having the chance to review the 2008 general election results, I’m still curious as to the “Luciano effect.”
She finished 4th, 500 votes back from the third-place Mario Aceto (that’s also about the same margin that determined your race in Ward 4, as I’m sure you remember).
So, my initial question stands: What is the Luciano effect?
Jesse
Look closer at the break down precinct by precinct and you will see clearly that the “Luciano factor” was in full effect. Ask Jim quinlan about 08 results. Her name took top or near top results without ever stepping foot out of her apartment. All odds were against her in 08 but she did win ward 4. Fast forward to last night. Again she never stepped foot outside of her residence, in fact the Rep party told her dont do or say anything and she again blew everyone away. Jim Donahue worked extremely hard and he came in second in ward 4. Mike Farnia who walked everyday and seemed to be picking up momentum city wide came in 4th spot overall. Dont look at the overall numbers but break it down a little deeper. I give the woman credit, she sure did get the vote out.
State results (versus my calls):
Congress: Langevin, 60% (68%)
Governor: Chafee, 36% (41)
Lt. Gov.: Roberts, 55% (44)
Sec. of State: Mollis, 51% (58)
Atty. Gen.: Kilmartin, 43% (Little, 49)
Treasurer: Raimondo, 62% (55)
Referenda:
#1 (Change state name): Rejected 78-22 (60-40)
#2 (Higher Ed Bonds): Approved 55-45 (51-49)
#3 (Roads & RIPTA): Approve 73-27 (Rejected 58-42)
#4 (Rocky Point): Approved 65-35 (58-42)
Record: 8-for-10, 5-for-6 in state offices.
Not one to (only) gloat, my results for the local ballot were mixed. Happily, I was proven wrong in my cynical expectation that pro-school board voters would kill the Council oversight measures.
R.I. Senate 28: Miller, 56% (60)
R.I. House 14: Lima, 65% (72)
Cranston Mayor: Fung, 76% (65)
Cranston City-Wide: Lupino, Donahue, Luciano
(Lupino, Aceto, Buongiovanni)
Ward 3: Archetto, 55% (58)
School Committee (unopposed): Lombardi, McFarland
Assembly and Council: 5-for-7
#5: Approved 65-35 (Rejected 70-30)
#6: Approved 64-36 (Rejected 70-30)
#7: Approved 66.5-33.5 (Rejected 70-30)
#8: Approved 59-41 (Rejected 65-35)
#9: Approved 76-24 (Approved 70-30)
#10: Approved 68-32 (Approved 60-40)
#11: Approved 70-30 (Approved 60-40)
Referenda: 3-for-7
Overall total: 16-for-24 (.667 for you baseball fans)
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P.S. I’ll also own up to getting this one wrong:
“In Cranston, the Mayor’s race will bring in fewer than 25,000 votes, and Fung will take almost 2/3 of them — not exactly the drubbing he gave Fogarty in ’08, but close.”
In fact, the race took in 27,000+ votes and Fung took nearly 3/4, which surpasses his victory in ’08 of 63-37.
Thanks Jesse. We like to report the news before it happens, that’s what distinguishes us from those other sites.
Send us predictions any time.